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CYS INSIGHTS


Global FX Markets React to Fed’s Hawkish Cut
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit USD/SGD 1.2875 – 1.2975 Federal Reserve’s Policy Shift: A Hawkish Cut with Divergent Market Interpretations Global currency markets traded cautiously following the Federal Reserve’s widely anticipated 25-basis-point rate cut, the third adjustment in its current easing cycle. While the mechanical reduction in the federal funds target range to 3.50–3.75 percent aligned with consensus expectations, the underlyin
17m


USD/CNY Outlook: Seasonal Export Flows Meet State-Led Currency Management
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit USD/SGD 1.2925 – 1.2975 Seasonal Export Dynamics and Bank of America’s USD/CNY Forecast Bank of America’s decision to maintain its year-end USD/CNY forecast at 7.10, despite December historically being China’s strongest export month, reflects a cautious reassessment of how seasonal dollar inflows translates into yuan appreciation. In theory, stronger exports should generate a surge in U.S. dollar receipts f
Dec 10


Asian FX Holds Steady as Markets Juggle Fed Cut Bets, BOJ Signals, and Divergent Antipodean Policies
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit USD/SGD 1.2940 – 1.2980 Asian currency markets spent the week oscillating within tight ranges, as traders balanced rising expectations of a U.S. rate cut against shifting monetary signals from Japan, Australia, and New Zealand. While the U.S. dollar weakened earlier in the week on benign U.S. data, the momentum stalled by mid-week, leaving most regional currencies little changed. At the same time, a surprisin
Dec 3


Sterling in Suspense: Markets Brace for a High-Stakes U.K. Budget
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit GBP/SGD 1.7050 – 1.7150 A Currency Held in Stasis Amid Fiscal Anxiety The British pound is trading in an unusually compressed range as markets count down to the U.K.’s November 26 Budget, a fiscal event that has taken on outsized significance following the turmoil of 2022. While sterling remains under pressure, analysts from Bank of America (BofA) and ING note that the currency has also displayed a surpris
Nov 26


Markets Rise on Hopes of US Shutdown Resolution
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit USD/SGD 1.3000 – 1.3050 Inflation and Rate Expectations Remain Key Drivers Amid Market Rebound Global equity markets received a much-needed lift this week as optimism grew that the United States government shutdown—now the longest in history at 40 days—may finally be nearing an end. Reports of a bipartisan agreement in the Senate to fund government operations through January triggered a wave of relief acros
Nov 19


Yen Weakness and Equity Strength: Japan’s Market Dynamics at a Crossroads
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit JPY/USD 152.50 – 153.50 The Yen’s Slide and the Prospect of Intervention The Japanese yen has entered a renewed phase of weakness, with the USD/JPY pair climbing nearly 5% over the past month to levels unseen since January. After months of relative summer stability, the move has reignited market speculation over potential intervention by Japan’s Ministry of Finance (MoF). According to Goldman Sachs, while ve
Nov 12


Dollar Gains as Powell Pushes Back on December Rate-Cut Bets
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit USD/SGD 1.2975 – 1.3025 Fed Division Exposes Uncertainty in U.S. Monetary Outlook The U.S. dollar extended its mid-week gains into Friday (Oct 31), after the Federal Reserve’s widely expected rate cut on Wednesday triggered a surprisingly hawkish market response. While the cut was largely priced in, the tone struck by Fed Chair Jerome Powell—combined with visible dissent within the Federal Open Market Commit
Nov 5


Asian Currencies Struggle for Direction
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit USD/SGD 1.2950 – 1.3015 Yen’s Decline Reflects Market Scepticism on Japan’s Fiscal and Monetary Outlook Asian currencies remained largely rangebound through midweek trading, as investors weighed the implications of Japan’s political transition and the prospect of renewed trade friction between the world’s two largest economies. The Japanese yen has been at the centre of recent volatility, reflecting both pol
Oct 29


Asian Currencies Firm as Dollar Weakens on Fed Rate Cut Bets
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit USD/SGD 1.2924 – 1.2932 Mixed Sentiment Across Asia Amid Policy Shifts and Trade Risks Asian currencies strengthened broadly on Thursday, buoyed by growing market conviction that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in October. The prospect of a policy pivot, hinted at by Chair Jerome Powell’s recent dovish remarks, pushed the dollar lower and spurred demand for regional assets. However, gains
Oct 23


Dollar Holds Firm Amid Global Political Upheaval and U.S. Policy Uncertainty
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit USD/SGD 1.2894 – 1.2902 The U.S. dollar held its ground on Thursday,...
Oct 15


OECD Warns Global Economy Yet to Feel Full Force of Trump Tariffs
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit USD/SGD 1.2800 – 1.2850 Short-Term Growth Resilience Masks...
Oct 8


Dollar Stabilises After Fed Cut as Sterling and Yen Await Central Bank Decisions
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit Global currency markets remained volatile on Thursday, as the U.S. dollar...
Oct 1


Asian Currencies Edge Higher as Dollar Slips Ahead of Fed Decision
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit Asian Currencies Steady as Dollar Weakens Ahead of Fed Rate Cut Decision ...
Sep 17


Dollar Holds Firm Amid Fed Independence Concerns
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit U.S. Dollar Resilient Despite Fed Independence Questions The U.S. dollar...
Sep 10


Dollar Holds Firm Amid Fed Independence Concerns
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit U.S. Dollar Resilient Despite Fed Independence Questions The U.S. dollar...
Sep 4


Euro and Pound Outlook Through 2026: Policy Divergence Today, Convergence Tomorrow
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit Euro: Constructive but Capped—Why BofA and UBS See Upside with Limits ...
Aug 27


Dollar Steadies Near Multi-Week Lows as Fed Rate Cut Bets Intensify
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit Market Cautious Ahead of Key U.S. Data The U.S. dollar held near...
Aug 21


Central Bank Decisions Set to Influence Global Economic Climate
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit BOJ, Fed, and BOE Meetings to Shape Worldwide Economic Sentiment In...
Aug 14


Asian Currencies Face Turbulence Amid Steady Fed Rates and Renewed Tariffs
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit Strengthening Dollar and Trade Tensions Weigh on Asian Currencies This...
Aug 6


Euro Emerges as a Surprising Safe Haven, Second Only to Gold – HSBC
A Report by CYS Global Remit Counterparty Sales & Alliance Unit In a market characterized by policy volatility, geopolitical...
Jul 30
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